========
Newsgroups: misc.survivalism
Subject: "How Bad will it Get?" Part 2
From: Digman@ix.netcom.com (Digger)
Date: Wed, 22 Jan 1997 05:29:07 GMT

	When will the crisis begin? Technically speaking, it already
has begun. What is unknown is when it will all come to a head. My
personal prediction is within ten years. Where it will happen will
probably be right here in California, along with Florida, Texas and
just about every inner city area that is overpopulated, undereducated,
welfare ridden, high crime rate, etc. The reason I choose California,
Florida and Texas is the high concentration of resident and illegal
aliens, many of them criminals. As systems and people become overtaxed
and over stressed to the breaking point, Natural citizens will begin
to fight with immigrants and illegals over food, fuel and other
things. Tolerance for most will completely stop. Police will intervene
in these small skirmishes thus setting off riotous behavior, most
likely from the minorities as has already been demonstrated in
Florida. States with areas that have a large gap between rich and poor
will be prime grounds for crisis.

	The escalating riotous behavior in many areas will cause state
and local governments to attempt severe firearms restrictions and
maybe even attempt confiscation of ALL firearms. Many people will
comply, foolishly believing that their government and police will
protect them. Others, however, will under no circumstances, give up
their guns to anyone. Local police agencies may find themselves
engaged in numerous 'shoot-outs' with angry and frightened citizens.
In some areas of heavy activity, valid and self-imposed Militias may
activate even before the area National Guard deploys and end up in
fights with local law enforcement who might feel that the Militia is
interfering with their duties. Some of these scenarios were also
demonstrated during the 1992 L.A/Rodney King riots. (Ammo and gun
sales halted, citizens harassed by Police for defending themselves
against looters.)

	Essentially, you will see situations like L.A occur all over.
Nothing cataclysmic, but continual. Personally, I feel that those of
us who live in or near large Cities or in suburbs near large cities
will be affected. People who live in smaller towns, especially farm
communities maybe less affected at first, although, may become
affected later if things don't calm down. Hate and other fringe groups
may use the crisis and may lay as a means of acting out their plans.
 Gangs and looting packs will certainly seize the opportunity for self
gain. 

	As law enforcement and the military are called into play
things will get critical. As I stated earlier, soldiers will most
likely be called upon to fire on anyone they deem to be a threat. Even
if that person or persons are simply defending themselves, their home
or neighborhoods. Some may comply and some may refuse. The problem
is....you may only have a second or two do decide if he is going to
help you or kill you. I also feel you have even less of a chance with
a cop. Cops will probably be so paranoid by then, they will fire at
anything that moves.

	O.K., so you have your bug out pack, some weapons, your car,
scanner & shortwave and a will to survive. Good. You're also scared to
death. GOOD!! you should be. You know where you want to go. The
question is, can you get there in one piece. Most likely, everyone and
his brother will have the same idea as you, except, you are part of a
small percentage that is at least somewhat prepared. You may be very
well prepared, so much the better. Most of the sheep, when surprised
and stampeding will have no idea what they are doing. You are faced
with a profound question; How ruthless do I have to be to survive? If
someone gets in my way, am I going to have to kill them? My answer
would be yes, even if I do not necessarily want it to be. Your "Prime
Directive" at this point is to defend yourself and/or your family, or,
if you are in a survival group, to your compatriots and get to where
you need to go. The police will not be your allies, they are having to
deal with the out of control criminal element and the sheep stampede.
If you get caught in the middle, oh well. Most likely the police will
think you're a criminal or some militant nut-case who got an excuse to
shoot his rifle. Would I shoot a cop? Probably. Especially if he were
to try and keep me from defending my home or stop me from getting to
where I needed to go. If he crosses that line, he has become no ally
of mine. All you have to do is look at other countries where civil
crisis become out of control to give you an idea of what we might
face.	 

	If you don't have a safe haven anywhere out of the hot zone,
you need familiarize yourself with any heavy wooded areas away from
the hot zone. National parks or Bureau of Land Management areas are
good. In other words, some place reasonably safe that you can crash at
and give yourself time to assess the situation. You may want to stay
there if it's a really safe place or you may want to move on until you
find a really safe place. That may also depend on how bad things were
when you left. If you research this before things get messy, then you
are all that more prepared. This area may also be handy for an interim
hideout until you get to your safe haven. If you think you're going to
be there awhile, make sure your area has some water access. Rocky and
hilly terrain is even better as it's easier to defend and blend into.

	In summation, the coming "Dark ages" as some phrase it will
occur in the most vulnerable states and not the whole country at once.
The crisis will be a result of many factors, economic, criminal,
natural and government induced. In many areas of dense population,
people are nearing the breaking point. We see daily evidence of this.
Extremist fringe groups are surfacing and are being egged-on by a
Godless media for ratings and the almighty advertising dollar.
Inflation and interest rates are on the rise again. Food and fuel
costs are rising dramatically. Certain large companies are reporting
record profits while the average American's income has dropped.
Personal debt is at an all time high. At current rates the interest on
the National debt will exceed one-trillion dollars by the year 2000.
More families are living at the poverty level than ever before. Almost
one-third of the populace is functionally illiterate and on social
programs. Teen pregnancies are on the rise and even occurring in
pre-teen girls. Government agencies run rough-shot over citizens. FBI
agents execute women and children and are slapped on the wrist. Law
enforcement continually fails to control lowlife street gangs but
always finds the time to harass law abiding citizens about what kind
of gun they own. Wealthy liberal-socialist zealots shape our
government policies. Komrade Klinton will continue to paint a rosy
picture of how everything is better now. As Peter Alan Kassler has
said, "The truth is politically incorrect".

					Digger
					NCIM    
